NFL Week 2 against-the-spread picks Matthew Staffords Rams cover vs. Colts Chiefs down Ravens again
NFL Week 2 against-the-spread picks Matthew Staffords Rams cover vs. Colts Chiefs down Ravens again
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Week 1 of the NFL season is one of my favorite weeks to gamble, and it showed. #DajaniDimes went 4-1 on his top 5 against-the-spread picks and 11-5 overall. I also had the upsetting the as a top 5 pick. While I am currently atop the CBS Sports ATS leaderboard, it wasn't all perfect for me. I really thought the would defeat the . and his new role under Sean Payton was the most intriguing storyline to come out of Week 1 in my opinion. What a debut.While I was able to dominate Week 1 from a money perspective, Week 2 presents plenty of potential pitfalls. Here's where gamblers can overreact to what they think they learned in Week 1, so we all have to be careful about that. Identify the trends that could be legitimate instead of just one-game phenomena.Top five picks record: 4-1Overall ATS record: 11-5Straight up record: 9-72020 ATS record: 125-120-9(2 official picks mi sed due to COVID rescheduling)Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX)The Rams are entering a new era with at quarterback. He threw two 50-plus yard touchdown pa ses in Week 1 against the , matching the amount of 50-yard touchdown pa ses recorded by the Rams all of last season. Stafford also posted a career-high pa ser rating in his first game with the Rams and became the first player in NFL history to win his team debut while pa sing for over 300 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions. With and at his disposal, this Rams pa sing attack could be one of the best in the league. Don't count out either. As for the Colts, looks like a stud, but he's not enough on offense. They still lost by double digits to the , and now they have to face one of the best defenses in the NFL. I'm laying 3.5 with the Rams.The pick:Rams -3.5Projected score:Rams 30-17Sunday, 1 p.m. ET Dylan Bundy Jersey (CBS) made the ' above-average defense look below-average. OK, that doesn't sound like an amazing compliment, but Bridgewater did what he needed to do in Week 1 to get those in the fan club to warm up to him. It was his fourth-career game in which he completed 75 percent of his pa ses, threw for at least 250 yards and recorded two or more touchdowns. Even though Bridgewater loses for a few weeks, this wide receiving corps is talented enough to still make an impact. Keep an eye on this week. The Jaguars lost to who we all a sumed would be the worst team in the NFL in Week 1. That's a big deal. The Jags have allowed 24 or more points in an NFL-record 16 straight games now and have lost a franchise-record 16 straight games -- which is the longest active losing streak in the NFL. I actually think there was some good to take away from debut, but he's not ready to carry a bad team to the win column this early on -- especially while the entire sports world is talking about his one-week old head coach . By the way, I think the Meyer to USC noise is completely overblown, but noise is still noise. It's something that will be talked about in every pregame show and on every sports radio station. Even if it has no merit, that's not a good thing for a rebuilding franchise.The pick:Broncos -6Projected score:Broncos 30-20Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (FOX)The Vikings looked poor defensively last week. They allowed 366 yards of total offense and 149 rushing yards to a offense that ranked No. 29 in the league last year. SportsLine data scientist Stephen Oh says the value in this game is on Arizona to cover the spread and that a healthy should "destroy" this Vikings team after his five-touchdown performance last week.We'll dive more into what the Cardinals specifically did last Sunday in the next section, but I really like Arizona at home and that's where the simulations are pointing as well. The pick:Cardinals -3.5Projected score: Cardinals 28-21Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX)I think the Titans are going to be a top five team in the AFC, but it remains to be seen how quickly Frank Robinson Jersey they can get it together. They were absolutely dominated by the Cardinals in Week 1, 38-13. Left tackle , who is coming off of a torn ACL, did not look healthy and was taken to church by -- who recorded five sacks and two forced fumbles. The Titans offense was not on the same page all game and the secondary was atrocious. In fact, Tenne see's defensive backs have convinced me to make this one of my top five best bets.Kyler Murray pa sed for 289 yards and four touchdowns and ran another score in. He's near the top of the too-early MVP rankings, and part of that is because of how badly the Titans struggled in covering receivers. What does love to do? Air it out to his talented receivers. In the 28-16 win over the Colts, caught four pa ses for 100 yards and two long touchdowns while caught four pa ses for 60 yards and a touchdown. Wilson mi sed just five of his 23 attempts, as he and new offensive coordinator Shane Waldron seem like quite a match. This number will likely climb, so I would grab it at -5 or -5.5. The Titans aren't as bad as they looked in Week 1, but with this game being in Seattle, Baltimore Orioles Jersey I'll take the Seahawks.The pick:Seahawks -5.5Projected score:Seahawks 31-24Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)This will be round four of vs. , and the Chiefs have won all three matchups. The first went to overtime, but the Chiefs have covered the spread of 3.5 points in the last two meetings. This would be a much more enticing matchup if the Ravens had the injured , , , , and healthy. Jackson, a dual-threat playmaker, is going to make sure the Ravens are still a contender, but the Chiefs are obviously the better team. Kansas City didn't play incredibly well in Week 1. They went down 12 points to the and still found a way to win. Mahomes has won nine of the past 11 games in which he's trailed by double digits. It's just ridiculous. You've probably seen the stat by now, but Mahomes is 11-0 in the month of September and has the Chiefs averaging 34.2 points per game in said month.The pick:Chiefs -3.5Projected score:Chiefs 30-24 (-3.5) 20-14 over Giants (+3) 29-28 over (-6) 28-21 over Bengals (+2.5) 27-24 over BearsBrowns 35-28 over (+12.5) (+3.5) 28-24 over Saints (-3.5) 30-23 over (-5.5) 33-24 over Raiders (-12.5) 35-21 over 30-27 over (+3.5)Packers 27-20 over (+11)
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